The week has started and was led by the only title and header around all economic news which is “US-China trade wars”.submitted by Esabellaason to PrimeXBT [link] [comments]
US-China trade wars in general had its effect on all markets, including cryptocurrency. The United States wants to tighten cryptocurrency use and claimed that it’s been used by smugglers and drug-dealers and pointed out that most of the transactions are made in China.
This week BTC tried to break $10500 on Monday, August 26th and was rejected, the price then was floating between $10400-10300 and continued the correction down to $10027. Uncertainty in the BTC has ended when the price hit $10400 again and showed a massive drop to $9366. We will point out several reasons of this week’s drop. The drop could be a result of an update in the US when rumors on crypto-currency taxation became real. Several notes sent by the IRS to crypto-currency holders pushed some investors to get rid of the BTC and led to a major sell.
The Wright and Kleiman case brings another reason to worry about. If Kleiman family surely inherited billions of $ worth of Bitcoin, then they should declare IRS the quantity and pay state taxes. Most probably, when these BTC’s received if they exist, the Kleiman family will sell them, which will result another drop-down of BTC.
CME Exchange’s futures contracts for Bitcoin is expiring today, though the Exchange showed a record-high $515M daily trading volume in May, futures expiry date gave extra-strength to sellers.
The price by the time published is traded at $9608 per BTC, from the technical point of view the price still has to find greater grounds for another massive jump.
Though we can see that a double-bottom pattern in 1-hour chart and most likely BTC will test $9750
CME Exchange will continue to offer Bitcoin futures which is a positive sign for the cryptocurrency and announcement of the release of ICE-backed Bakkt Bitcoin futures in September 23 could be that pump to get the price above $10K.
Now let’s move to Forex marketThe pair to watch this week and the next week is EURUSD.
Economy of Germany which EU's locomotive and other countries are cars, has showed a slight 0.1% decrease in the second quarter of 2019 related to the previous quarter. We can never deny the fact that the EU union with all its economy and power of its currency is completely dependent to the economic well-being of Germany. If the third quarter of this year doesn't show mercy to Germany's economy or Germany doesn't change policies to not only stabilize but improve the economy, the EU should prepare well for recession.
Not only economic state of Germany but rumors and news and overall hype over Brexit and Italy's economic crisis are considered to be a sinker of Euro against USD. For Euro to gain power and for EURUSD to show an uptrend again, firstly all rumors and preparations on recession should be reduced to nothing and EU states should do the needful to prevent the new economic crisis.
This week’s economic data from Germany was not positive, IFO Business Climate was below forecasted 95.1 and 94.3 was announced, German GDP was -0.1. These were news which weakened the European currency, although the worst scenario was yet to come. Thursday, August 29 Germany made an announced on the unemployment, and the number was four times higher than on the previous unemployment change, 4K. Since the announcement EURUSD was showing downwards movement and plummeted to 1.0990
If no signs of progress are shown next week, especially if the German Manufacturing PMI numbers don’t show positive, the price will continue downtrend to 1.0950 and find the next support at 1.0850
The political tension between EU and UK, US and China last week showed us more-or-less unpredictable movements in US, China, HK, EU, UK stock market indices. Since the “trade-war” begun and US applying higher tariffs on Chinese goods and China taking counter-action the only gainers of these back-to-back pokes were Gold and Silver. Gold showed one more time that it’s the most trusted asset to invest. The price hit $1555 highs this week and is now showing signs of short-term correction being traded at $1526. Major Investment institutions such as UBS and Citigroup look positive on Golds new summit ascents. Mainly UBS has stated that the next week the price could reach $1600.
From the technical point we can see that the price is trying to break the barrier at 1530, and is still unlucky.
This could mean that if the support at $1520 is broken, the correction will continue to $1515 and $1507.
If the downtrend is impulsive the price will reach $1494, where it will find support and another upwards move shall be expected.
At the other hand, confirmation of Gold’s uptrend move will be breaking of resistance at $1530 where the price shall face a mile-stone of resistances at 1545-1563-1571.
From the Global prospective we should follow the upcoming Manufacturing PMI’s announcements of Germany and the US, US Non-Farm payrolls and Unemployment rates. Pay a very close attention to announcements of these three states Australia, UK and Canada, as well. Report prepared by analysts from PrimeXBT.
|7:00:00 AM||MBA Mortgage Applications Index||17-Feb-18||-6.60%||NA||-4.10%|
|10:00:00 AM||Existing Home Sales||Jan||5.38M||5.62M||5.56M|
|2:00:00 PM||FOMC Minutes||Jan. 30-31||-||NA||NA|
|CPSI||Computer Prog & Rg||0.10||0.03|
|CTSH||COGNIZANT TECH SO-A||0.20||0.01|
|DFS||Discover Fncl Sr Rg||0.35||0.02|
|DNB||Dun & Bradstreet Rg||0.52||0.02|
|HE||Hawaiian Electr Rg||0.31||0.04|
|JCOM||J2 Global Rg||0.41||0.02|
|MDLY||Medley Mgt Rg-A||0.20||0.13|
|SBSI||Southside Bancsh Rg||0.28||0.03|
|SWKS||Skyworks Solutio Rg||0.32||0.01|
|Company||Release||Est. EPS||Company||Release||Est. EPS|
|Acacia Communications (ACIA)||Afternoon||0.25||Ladder Capital (LADR)||Afternoon||0.40|
|Acadia Healthcare (ACHC)||Afternoon||0.54||Lawson Products (LAWS)||Morning||0.16|
|Acadia Realty Trust (AKR)||Afternoon||0.33||Legacy Reserves (LGCY)||Afternoon||0.12|
|Advance Auto Parts (AAP)||Morning||0.64||Leidos (LDOS)||Morning||0.85|
|Alleghany (Y)||Afternoon||7.32||Lendingtree (TREE)||Morning||0.92|
|Altra Industrial Motion (AIMC)||Morning||0.49||Life Storage (LSI)||Afternoon||0.72|
|Anika Therapeutics (ANIK)||Afternoon||0.41||Ligand Pharmaceuticals (LGND)||Afternoon||1.06|
|ANSYS (ANSS)||Afternoon||1.03||Live Nation Entertainment (LYV)||Afternoon||-0.49|
|AppFolio (APPF)||Afternoon||0.09||Lloyds Banking Group (LYG)||Afternoon||N/A|
|Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI)||Afternoon||0.83||Mack Cali Realty (CLI)||Afternoon||0.54|
|Archrock (AROC)||Morning||-0.05||Mammoth Energy Services (TUSK)||Afternoon||0.20|
|Archrock Partners (APLP)||Morning||0.09||Mantech International (MANT)||Afternoon||0.39|
|Ashford Hospitality Trust (AHT)||Afternoon||-0.38||Masonite International (DOOR)||Afternoon||0.81|
|Athene (ATH)||Afternoon||1.23||Matador Resources (MTDR)||Afternoon||0.20|
|Atrion (ATRI)||Afternoon||N/A||McDermott International (MDR)||Morning||0.01|
|AV Homes (AVHI)||Afternoon||0.41||MedEquities Realty Trust (MRT)||Morning||0.31|
|Avis Budget Group (CAR)||Afternoon||0.20||Medifast (MED)||Afternoon||0.48|
|Avista (AVA)||Morning||0.52||MIND C.T.I. (MNDO)||Morning||N/A|
|AXT (AXTI)||Afternoon||0.08||MINDBODY (MB)||Afternoon||0.01|
|Bandwidth (BAND)||Afternoon||-0.02||National CineMedia (NCMI)||Afternoon||0.22|
|Biglari (BH)||N/A||-1.65||Navios Maritime (NM)||Morning||-0.14|
|Bio-Rad Laboratories (BIO)||Afternoon||1.26||NeoGenomics (NEO)||Morning||0.04|
|BJ's Restaurants (BJRI)||Afternoon||0.32||Noble (NE)||Afternoon||-0.33|
|Blueprint Medicines (BPMC)||Morning||-1.07||Oncomed Pharmaceuticals (OMED)||Afternoon||-0.35|
|Bridgepoint Education (BPI)||Afternoon||-0.13||ONE Gas (OGS)||Afternoon||0.88|
|BroadSoft (BSFT)||Morning||1.27||Owens Corning (OC)||Morning||1.04|
|Broadway Financial (BYFC)||N/A||N/A||Pandora Media (P)||Afternoon||-0.08|
|Career Education (CECO)||Afternoon||0.05||Parsley Energy (PE)||Afternoon||0.17|
|Carrizo Oil & Gas (CRZO)||Afternoon||0.46||PDL BioPharma (PDLI)||Afternoon||0.11|
|Carter's (CRI)||Morning||2.18||Pegasystems (PEGA)||Afternoon||0.15|
|Castlight Health (CSLT)||Afternoon||-0.05||Pinnacle Foods (PF)||Morning||0.94|
|Chart Industries (GTLS)||Morning||0.31||Portola Pharmaceuticals (PTLA)||Afternoon||-1.33|
|Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)||Afternoon||0.53||PRGX Global (PRGX)||N/A||0.14|
|Clear Channel Outdoor (CCO)||Morning||0.05||ProAssurance (PRA)||Afternoon||0.62|
|Cogent Communications (CCOI)||N/A||0.12||Quidel (QDEL)||Afternoon||0.20|
|Compugen (CGEN)||Morning||N/A||Realty Income (O)||Afternoon||0.31|
|Conduent (CNDT)||Morning||0.26||Redwood Trust (RWT)||N/A||0.35|
|Continental Building Products (CBPX)||Afternoon||0.33||Retail Opportunity Investments (ROIC)||Afternoon||0.09|
|Convergys (CVG)||Afternoon||0.45||RPX (RPXC)||Afternoon||0.13|
|Copa (CPA)||Afternoon||2.33||RTI Surgical (RTIX)||Morning||0.03|
|Curtiss-Wright (CW)||Afternoon||1.46||Ruth's Hospitality Group (RUTH)||Morning||0.39|
|CVR Partners (UAN)||Morning||-0.13||Sabra Health Care REIT (SBRA)||Afternoon||0.30|
|CyrusOne (CONE)||Afternoon||0.06||Sanderson Farms (SAFM)||Morning||1.31|
|Delphi Technologies (DLPH)||Morning||1.15||Schweitzer-Mauduit International (SWM)||Afternoon||0.61|
|Diamond Hill Investment Group (DHIL)||N/A||N/A||Shell Midstream Partners (SHLX)||Morning||0.36|
|Digimarc (DMRC)||Afternoon||-0.74||SJW Group (SJW)||Afternoon||0.44|
|DISH Network (DISH)||Morning||0.55||SM Energy (SM)||Afternoon||-0.21|
|Dynegy (DYN)||Afternoon||-1.13||South Jersey Industries (SJI)||Afternoon||0.42|
|Dynex Capital (DX)||Morning||0.19||Southern (SO)||Morning||0.46|
|Emcor Group (EME)||Morning||0.86||SP Plus (SP)||Afternoon||0.40|
|Employers (EIG)||Afternoon||0.56||SpartanNash (SPTN)||Afternoon||0.41|
|Encore Capital Group (ECPG)||Afternoon||0.94||Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM)||Morning||0.14|
|Energy Transfer Partners (ETP)||Afternoon||0.28||Stamps.com (STMP)||Afternoon||2.75|
|Escalade (ESCA)||Morning||0.29||Starwood Property Trust (STWD)||Morning||0.53|
|Essendant (ESND)||Afternoon||-0.06||Stewardship Financial (SSFN)||Afternoon||N/A|
|Eyegate Pharmaceuticals (EYEG)||N/A||-0.24||Stone Energy (SGY)||Afternoon||0.01|
|Financial Engines (FNGN)||Afternoon||0.37||Summit Hotel Properties (INN)||Afternoon||0.05|
|G1 Therapeutics (GTHX)||Afternoon||-0.58||Summit Midstream Partners (SMLP)||Afternoon||0.23|
|Garmin (GRMN)||Morning||0.75||Sun Communities (SUI)||Afternoon||0.20|
|Great Plains Energy (GXP)||Afternoon||0.13||Sunoco (SUN)||Afternoon||0.37|
|Green Dot (GDOT)||Afternoon||0.25||Superior Uniform Group (SGC)||Morning||0.29|
|Gulfport Energy (GPOR)||Afternoon||0.39||Synopsys (SNPS)||Afternoon||1.00|
|H&E Equipment Services (HEES)||Morning||0.41||TechnipFMC plc Ordinary Share (FTI)||Afternoon||0.44|
|Hannon Armstrong Sustnbl Infrstr Cap (HASI)||Afternoon||0.32||Tenaris (TS)||Afternoon||0.20|
|Hersha Hospitality Trust (HT)||Afternoon||-0.13||The Medicines (MDCO)||Morning||-1.48|
|HFF (HF)||Afternoon||0.80||Tile Shop (TTS)||Morning||0.05|
|HollyFrontier (HFC)||Morning||0.82||Tivity Health (TVTY)||Afternoon||0.32|
|Hudbay Minerals (HBM)||Afternoon||0.28||Tredegar (TG)||Afternoon||N/A|
|IAMGOLD (IAG)||Afternoon||0.02||Tyler Technologies (TYL)||Afternoon||1.04|
|IDACORP (IDA)||Morning||0.67||Ultrapar Participacoes (UGP)||Afternoon||0.23|
|InnerWorkings (INWK)||Afternoon||0.13||United Insurance (UIHC)||Afternoon||0.57|
|Insmed (INSM)||Morning||-0.68||United Therapeutics (UTHR)||Morning||3.59|
|Insulet (PODD)||Afternoon||-0.08||VASCO Data Security International (VDSI)||Afternoon||0.05|
|InterDigital (IDCC)||Morning||1.08||Versartis (VSAR)||Afternoon||-0.97|
|Interface (TILE)||Afternoon||0.30||Vishay Precision Group (VPG)||Morning||0.31|
|Invitation Homes (INVH)||Afternoon||0.27||Vonage (VG)||Morning||0.09|
|iPass (IPAS)||Afternoon||-0.06||Washington Prime Group (WPG)||Afternoon||0.08|
|Jack in the Box (JACK)||Afternoon||1.31||Weingarten Realty Investors (WRI)||Afternoon||0.26|
|JAKKS Pacific (JAKK)||Morning||-0.14||Wendys (WEN)||Afternoon||0.12|
|Jeld-Wen (JELD)||Morning||0.42||WEX (WEX)||Morning||1.33|
|Kaiser Aluminum (KALU)||Afternoon||1.15||Whiting Petroleum (WLL)||Afternoon||-0.45|
|Kirkland Lake Gold (KL)||Morning||0.24||Wolverine World Wide (WWW)||Morning||0.41|
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